ISA panel on Contentious Elections

  • Baltimore Hilton 401 West Pratt Street Baltimore, MD, 21201 United States

International Studies Association 2017 meeting

FD73: Elections and Contentious Politics

When: Friday, February 24, 4:00 PM - 5:45 PM

Where: Hopkins, Hilton Baltimore

About this ISA Panel

Title: Elections and Contentious Politics

Sponsored By

Chairs and Discussants

Papers

Electoral Integrity and Contentious Elections

Covering the campaign: Automated Extraction of Election Events in 2014 South Africa

Wartime Electoral Involvement

Elections and the Development of Civil War: Evidence from Sri Lanka

Explaining electoral violence in Sub-Saharan Africa using grievance measures derived from social media (ISA)

Abstract and Keywords

Most countries in the world hold elections. In many developing countries that are transitioning to democracy, elections are often associated with unrest, including protest, terrorism, and violent conflict. Yet other elections proceed remarkably peacefully. This panel presents five papers that use new data and methodological techniques to examine the relationship between elections and contentious politics. The first paper examines the determinants of contentious elections broadly, presenting a broad theoretical framework and analyzing specific aspects of this framework empirically. The second paper uses machine learning to develop better measures of election events derived from both traditional media sources and social media posts. The third paper uses twitter data to develop a measure of election-related grievance, and examines the relationship between this grievance and different types of conflict events using new integrated data from four events datasets. The fourth paper examines how provisions in peace agreements related to rebel participation in elections affect the level of electoral violence following civil conflict. The final paper examines whether a newly developed localized measure of election fraud can predict post-electoral protest. Taken together, the papers analyze the relation between elections and contention using a range of innovative techniques and across a number of different contexts.

Civil War; Elections; Protests; Social Media